Virginia at Louisville: Point Spread Line Movement

Saturday Oct 4, 2025 3:30 pm - Louisville, KY
Odds: Louisville by 6, Total Points: 60.5

More Games From Week 6
LOU -6.0 Open -6.0 High -7.0
Last -6.5 Low -6.0

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2020-2021 college football season there have been 302 games where the closing line favored the home team by 5 to 7 points. In these games:

  • The team like Louisville won the game 217 times (71.9%).
  • The team like Virginia won the game 85 times (28.1%).
  • The team like Louisville did better against the spread, going 165-126-11 (56.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.8 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2022-2023 college football season there have been 325 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.

In these games, the team like Louisville did better against the spread, going 169-142-14 (54.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.8 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -- -6.5 --
Open -- -6.0 --
History
10/01 05:55 PM -- -6.5 --
09/30 06:15 PM -- -7.0 --
09/30 04:25 PM -- -7.0 --
09/29 06:15 PM -- -7.5 --
09/29 11:05 AM -- -7.0 --
09/29 09:25 AM -- -6.5 --
09/28 08:15 PM -- -6.5 --
09/28 04:35 PM -- -6.0 --