Virginia at Duke: Recap
Saturday Nov 15, 2025 3:30 pm -
Durham, NC
Odds:
Duke by 4.5,
Total Points:
59.5
Matchup Menu: UVA @ DUKE
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke | UVA | 34.1% | ||
| DUKE | 65.9% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE -4.5 | UVA | 48.8% | ||
| DUKE | 51.2% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 59.5 | Over | 42.6% | ||
| Under | 57.4% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | UVA | -2.0% | ||
| DUKE | -1.3% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA | 25.9 | 26 | 27.5 | 34 |
| DUKE | 31.0 | 31 | 32.0 | 17 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | UVA | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 6.0 | 5.6 |
| Points/Play | 0.493 | 0.356 |
| Rush Play % | 82.61% | 62.22% |
| Pass Play % | 17.39% | 37.78% |
| Completion % | 81.82% | 56.00% |
| 3D Conv % | 21.43% | 37.04% |
| RZ Scoring % | 100.00% | 77.78% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | UVA | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 3.2 | 5.0 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.151 | 0.236 |
| Opp Completion % | 55.56% | 62.12% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 30.77% | 30.77% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 50.00% | 75.00% |