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Holiday Bowl: Louisville vs. USC: Over/Under Analysis

Wednesday Dec 27, 2023 8:00 pm - San Diego, CA (Neutral Site)
Odds: Louisville by 5, Total Points: 58

Matchup Menu: LOU @ USC

More Games From Bowl Week

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 58.0	Official TR Pick	52% odds to go under
Under 58.0	Similar Games	64% odds to go under
Under 58.0	Decision Tree	52% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	LOU	USC
Season	7-6-1	10-3-0
vs Conference	5-4-0	6-3-0
Streak	Ov 1	Ov 1
Last 5	4-1-0	3-2-0
Last 10	5-5-0	8-2-0
Home	3-3-1	5-2-0
Away	4-3-0	5-1-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Louisville Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
09/01	Neutral	GA Tech	49.5	39-34	Over	+23.5
09/07	Home	Murray St	56.0	56-0	Push	0.0
09/16	Neutral	Indiana	50.0	21-14	Under	-15.0
09/23	Home	Boston Col	53.5	56-28	Over	+30.5
09/29	Away	NC State	56.5	13-10	Under	-33.5
10/07	Home	Notre Dame	54.0	33-20	Under	-1.0
10/14	Away	Pittsburgh	45.0	21-38	Over	+14.0
10/28	Home	Duke	47.0	23-0	Under	-24.0
11/04	Home	VA Tech	46.5	34-3	Under	-9.5
11/09	Home	Virginia	50.0	31-24	Over	+5.0
11/18	Away	Miami	46.0	38-31	Over	+23.0
11/25	Home	Kentucky	48.0	31-38	Over	+21.0
12/02	Neutral	Florida St	46.0	6-16	Under	-24.0
12/27	Neutral	USC	58.0	28-42	Over	+12.0

USC Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
08/26	Home	San Jose St	65.5	56-28	Over	+18.5
09/02	Home	Nevada	63.5	66-14	Over	+16.5
09/09	Home	Stanford	70.0	56-10	Under	-4.0
09/23	Away	Arizona St	62.0	42-28	Over	+8.0
09/30	Away	Colorado	74.0	48-41	Over	+15.0
10/07	Home	Arizona	69.0	43-41	Over	+15.0
10/14	Away	Notre Dame	60.5	20-48	Over	+7.5
10/21	Home	Utah	52.0	32-34	Over	+14.0
10/28	Away	California	67.5	50-49	Over	+31.5
11/04	Home	Washington	75.5	42-52	Over	+18.5
11/11	Away	Oregon	77.5	27-36	Under	-14.5
11/18	Home	UCLA	62.5	20-38	Under	-4.5
12/27	Neutral	Louisville	58.0	42-28	Over	+12.0