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Holiday Bowl: Louisville vs. USC: Point Spread Analysis

Wednesday Dec 27, 2023 8:00 pm - San Diego, CA (Neutral Site)
Odds: Louisville by 5, Total Points: 58

Matchup Menu: LOU @ USC

More Games From Bowl Week

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
USC +4.5 Official TR Pick USC 53% odds to cover
USC +4.5 Decision Tree USC 54% odds to cover
USC +4.5 Predictive Ratings USC 64% odds to cover
Louisville -4.5 Power Ratings Louisville 58% odds to cover
Louisville -4.5 Similar Games Louisville 64% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record LOU adv USC
Season 6-8-0 4-9-0
vs Conference 4-5-0 2-7-0
Streak L3 W1
Last 5 1-4-0 2-3-0
Last 10 4-6-0 2-8-0
Home 5-2-0 2-5-0
Away 1-6-0 2-4-0

Louisville Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
09/01 Neutral GA Tech -7.0 W by 5 -2.0
09/07 Home Murray St -43.5 W by 56 +12.5
09/16 Neutral Indiana -10.0 W by 7 -3.0
09/23 Home Boston Col -14.0 W by 28 +14.0
09/29 Away NC State -3.5 W by 3 -0.5
10/07 Home Notre Dame +6.5 W by 13 +19.5
10/14 Away Pittsburgh -7.0 L by 17 -24.0
10/28 Home Duke -5.0 W by 23 +18.0
11/04 Home VA Tech -9.0 W by 31 +22.0
11/09 Home Virginia -20.0 W by 7 -13.0
11/18 Away Miami (Pick) W by 7 +7.0
11/25 Home Kentucky -7.5 L by 7 -14.5
12/02 Neutral Florida St -1.0 L by 10 -11.0
12/27 Neutral USC -5.0 L by 14 -19.0

USC Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
08/26 Home San Jose St -31.0 W by 28 -3.0
09/02 Home Nevada -37.5 W by 52 +14.5
09/09 Home Stanford -28.5 W by 46 +17.5
09/23 Away Arizona St -34.5 W by 14 -20.5
09/30 Away Colorado -21.5 W by 7 -14.5
10/07 Home Arizona -21.0 W by 2 -19.0
10/14 Away Notre Dame +3.0 L by 28 -25.0
10/21 Home Utah -7.0 L by 2 -9.0
10/28 Away California -10.5 W by 1 -9.5
11/04 Home Washington +2.5 L by 10 -7.5
11/11 Away Oregon +16.5 L by 9 +7.5
11/18 Home UCLA -5.0 L by 18 -23.0
12/27 Neutral Louisville +5.0 W by 14 +19.0