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Abl Christian vs. San Jose St: Box Score Simulation

Friday Nov 17, 2023 3:15 pm - St. Thomas, (Neutral Site)
Odds: San Jose St. by 2.5, Total Points: 136

Matchup Menu: ACU @ SJSU

More Games From Nov 17, 2023

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring ACU SJSU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting ACU SJSU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 55.6 56.4
Field Goal % 44.3% 49.8%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 40.5 35.6
2 Point Shooting % 46.2% 58.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 15.1 20.8
3 Point Shooting % 39.5% 35.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 14.3
Free Throw % 73.4% 68.6%
Ball Control ACU SJSU
Rebounds 32.9 32.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 6.5
Turnovers 9.8 11.1
Blocked Shots 1.8 3.0
Steals 5.2 4.5
Fouls 14.3 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ACU SJSU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with ACU SJSU
2 Point Attempt 50.8% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 18.9% 27.0%
Player Fouled 22.4% 20.4%
Turnover 14.0% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken ACU SJSU
Shot Blocked 5.4% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 21.2%