This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2023-24 NCAA Basketball season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2024-25 NCAA Basketball section, register for a free account.

TX-Pan Am at Tarleton St: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Feb 4, 2023 5:00 pm - Stephenville, TX
Odds: Tarleton State by 8.5, Total Points: 147

Matchup Menu: UTRGV @ TST

More Games From Feb 4, 2023

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTRGV TST
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting UTRGV TST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 56.2 62.1
Field Goal % 41.1% 50.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 38.8 43.6
2 Point Shooting % 46.8% 58.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 17.4 18.5
3 Point Shooting % 28.1% 32.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 18.4
Free Throw % 71.1% 75.8%
Ball Control UTRGV TST
Rebounds 31.7 37.7
Rebounds - Defensive 23.0 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 10.3
Turnovers 13.5 10.2
Blocked Shots 2.1 5.2
Steals 5.4 8.2
Fouls 14.6 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTRGV TST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with UTRGV TST
2 Point Attempt 46.0% 51.4%
3 Point Attempt 20.6% 21.9%
Player Fouled 21.6% 19.8%
Turnover 18.3% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 11.1% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTRGV TST
Shot Blocked 8.5% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 24.2% 30.9%