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Utah Tech at Abl Christian: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Jan 28, 2023 7:00 pm - Abilene, TX
Odds: Abilene Christian by 5, Total Points: 149.5

Matchup Menu: UTECH @ ACU

More Games From Jan 28, 2023

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTECH ACU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting UTECH ACU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 52.0 55.9
Field Goal % 49.1% 43.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 35.3 40.1
2 Point Shooting % 56.3% 46.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 16.7 15.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 35.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 24.9 27.4
Free Throw % 63.3% 73.4%
Ball Control UTECH ACU
Rebounds 35.8 32.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 23.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 9.0
Turnovers 16.1 11.6
Blocked Shots 3.4 2.3
Steals 5.6 8.9
Fouls 19.4 18.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTECH ACU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with UTECH ACU
2 Point Attempt 41.5% 46.9%
3 Point Attempt 19.7% 18.5%
Player Fouled 25.2% 25.8%
Turnover 21.4% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 11.9% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTECH ACU
Shot Blocked 4.2% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 28.0% 25.1%