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Fairfield at Boston Col: Box Score Simulation

Monday Nov 6, 2023 8:00 pm - Chestnut Hill, MA
Odds: Boston College by 14, Total Points: 130

Matchup Menu: FAIR @ BC

More Games From Nov 6, 2023

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring FAIR BC
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting FAIR BC
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 60.5 58.7
Field Goal % 41.1% 52.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 33.2 35.5
2 Point Shooting % 46.5% 61.6%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 27.3 23.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 38.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 14.2 13.7
Free Throw % 74.0% 74.4%
Ball Control FAIR BC
Rebounds 30.0 37.3
Rebounds - Defensive 21.3 28.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 8.6
Turnovers 8.7 10.1
Blocked Shots 1.7 3.2
Steals 7.0 4.8
Fouls 12.4 12.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FAIR BC
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with FAIR BC
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 45.4%
3 Point Attempt 34.6% 29.5%
Player Fouled 17.7% 17.9%
Turnover 12.6% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 10.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken FAIR BC
Shot Blocked 5.4% 2.9%
Offensive Rebound 23.1% 28.7%