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Kansas City at Bowling Grn: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Dec 16, 2023 2:00 pm - Bowling Green, OH
Odds: Bowling Green by 5.5, Total Points: 138

Matchup Menu: KC @ BGSU

More Games From Dec 16, 2023

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring KC BGSU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting KC BGSU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 59.0 51.9
Field Goal % 42.9% 42.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 34.7 34.8
2 Point Shooting % 48.1% 49.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 24.3 17.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 27.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 16.1 27.8
Free Throw % 72.1% 72.7%
Ball Control KC BGSU
Rebounds 35.2 34.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 8.1
Turnovers 11.1 10.8
Blocked Shots 4.1 2.3
Steals 5.2 5.6
Fouls 19.0 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KC BGSU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with KC BGSU
2 Point Attempt 42.7% 43.2%
3 Point Attempt 30.0% 21.2%
Player Fouled 20.6% 26.8%
Turnover 15.6% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken KC BGSU
Shot Blocked 4.5% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 25.8% 23.8%