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N Florida at Arizona St: Box Score Simulation

Monday Nov 15, 2021 9:00 pm - Tempe, AZ
Odds: Arizona State by 16, Total Points: 148

Matchup Menu: UNF @ ASU

More Games From Nov 15, 2021

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNF ASU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting UNF ASU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 59.5
Field Goal % 40.0% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 23.0 41.9
2 Point Shooting % 47.4% 53.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 34.0 17.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 31.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 15.7 22.9
Free Throw % 77.2% 65.3%
Ball Control UNF ASU
Rebounds 34.4 37.9
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 28.9
Rebounds - Offensive 6.9 9.0
Turnovers 12.6 7.8
Blocked Shots 2.3 3.3
Steals 4.1 8.2
Fouls 15.5 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNF ASU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with UNF ASU
2 Point Attempt 28.6% 51.1%
3 Point Attempt 42.3% 21.5%
Player Fouled 17.9% 21.5%
Turnover 17.5% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 11.4% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNF ASU
Shot Blocked 5.6% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 19.4% 24.7%