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App State at Marshall: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Dec 29, 2022 7:00 pm - Huntington, WV
Odds: Marshall by 10, Total Points: 146

Matchup Menu: APP @ MRSH

More Games From Dec 29, 2022

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring APP MRSH
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting APP MRSH
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 63.9 69.7
Field Goal % 45.9% 35.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 45.1 45.3
2 Point Shooting % 49.6% 38.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 18.8 24.4
3 Point Shooting % 37.0% 30.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 12.5
Free Throw % 69.5% 71.7%
Ball Control APP MRSH
Rebounds 45.3 38.7
Rebounds - Defensive 34.9 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 11.5
Turnovers 9.8 8.9
Blocked Shots 4.2 3.1
Steals 5.6 6.8
Fouls 10.7 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats APP MRSH
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with APP MRSH
2 Point Attempt 52.4% 51.7%
3 Point Attempt 21.9% 27.8%
Player Fouled 18.5% 14.4%
Turnover 13.2% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken APP MRSH
Shot Blocked 4.6% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 27.6% 24.8%