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Mt St Marys at Maryland: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Nov 29, 2020 2:00 pm - College Park, MD
Odds: Maryland by 21, Total Points: 139

Matchup Menu: MSM @ MD

More Games From Nov 29, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MSM MD
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting MSM MD
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 55.5 56.6
Field Goal % 40.0% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 38.6 36.2
2 Point Shooting % 44.4% 50.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 17.0 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 30.1% 30.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 13.8 23.3
Free Throw % 71.9% 73.1%
Ball Control MSM MD
Rebounds 33.6 37.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 10.8
Turnovers 14.4 9.8
Blocked Shots 3.6 4.2
Steals 5.0 8.0
Fouls 15.9 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MSM MD
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with MSM MD
2 Point Attempt 48.0% 44.2%
3 Point Attempt 21.1% 24.8%
Player Fouled 18.5% 22.8%
Turnover 20.6% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 11.5% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken MSM MD
Shot Blocked 7.6% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 30.3%