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Texas vs. Louisville: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Nov 19, 2023 3:30 pm - New York, NY (Neutral Site)
Odds: Texas by 17.5, Total Points: 147.5

Matchup Menu: TEX @ LOU

More Games From Nov 19, 2023

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring TEX LOU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting TEX LOU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 56.9 53.8
Field Goal % 52.3% 41.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 36.5 39.1
2 Point Shooting % 60.5% 45.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 20.3 14.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.6% 31.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.0 22.8
Free Throw % 76.5% 74.2%
Ball Control TEX LOU
Rebounds 34.1 30.2
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 21.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 8.5
Turnovers 10.2 12.5
Blocked Shots 4.5 2.4
Steals 7.5 4.8
Fouls 17.2 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TEX LOU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with TEX LOU
2 Point Attempt 45.5% 48.0%
3 Point Attempt 25.4% 18.0%
Player Fouled 21.3% 24.2%
Turnover 14.3% 17.5%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 10.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken TEX LOU
Shot Blocked 4.6% 8.0%
Offensive Rebound 26.9% 24.5%