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S Alabama vs. Hawaii: Box Score Simulation

Friday Nov 26, 2021 6:00 pm - Las Vegas, NV (Neutral Site)
Odds: South Alabama by 4.5, Total Points: 139

Matchup Menu: USA @ HAW

More Games From Nov 26, 2021

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring USA HAW
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting USA HAW
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 54.5
Field Goal % 45.4% 49.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 42.0 32.4
2 Point Shooting % 49.4% 60.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 16.1 22.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 32.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 21.9
Free Throw % 74.7% 72.5%
Ball Control USA HAW
Rebounds 28.5 36.6
Rebounds - Defensive 23.3 28.7
Rebounds - Offensive 5.2 7.9
Turnovers 9.3 11.6
Blocked Shots 2.1 2.8
Steals 5.7 4.1
Fouls 16.2 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USA HAW
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with USA HAW
2 Point Attempt 53.7% 40.2%
3 Point Attempt 20.6% 27.4%
Player Fouled 20.2% 22.6%
Turnover 12.9% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken USA HAW
Shot Blocked 5.1% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 15.4% 25.2%