This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2023-24 NCAA Basketball season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2024-25 NCAA Basketball section, register for a free account.

Hsn Christian at New Orleans: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Jan 7, 2023 5:00 pm - New Orleans, LA
Odds: New Orleans by 6, Total Points: 157.5

Matchup Menu: HCU @ NORL

More Games From Jan 7, 2023

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring HCU NORL
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting HCU NORL
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 58.6 65.0
Field Goal % 47.2% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 45.1 48.5
2 Point Shooting % 51.4% 52.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 13.5 16.5
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 30.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 26.3 22.3
Free Throw % 64.1% 70.6%
Ball Control HCU NORL
Rebounds 39.4 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 23.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 11.3
Turnovers 13.8 8.8
Blocked Shots 2.4 5.2
Steals 4.5 8.1
Fouls 15.3 17.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HCU NORL
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with HCU NORL
2 Point Attempt 49.7% 54.8%
3 Point Attempt 14.9% 18.7%
Player Fouled 22.8% 20.0%
Turnover 18.2% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 10.6% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken HCU NORL
Shot Blocked 8.2% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 34.5% 29.6%