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N Illinois at Marquette: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Nov 27, 2021 8:00 pm - Milwaukee, WI
Odds: Marquette by 21, Total Points: 136.5

Matchup Menu: NIU @ MARQ

More Games From Nov 27, 2021

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring NIU MARQ
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting NIU MARQ
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 56.1 61.2
Field Goal % 38.6% 51.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 31.3 35.9
2 Point Shooting % 44.3% 58.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 24.9 25.3
3 Point Shooting % 31.5% 40.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 20.9
Free Throw % 67.4% 68.8%
Ball Control NIU MARQ
Rebounds 33.3 37.4
Rebounds - Defensive 23.5 27.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 9.8
Turnovers 14.3 7.9
Blocked Shots 3.5 3.5
Steals 3.7 8.4
Fouls 14.5 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NIU MARQ
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with NIU MARQ
2 Point Attempt 37.8% 43.4%
3 Point Attempt 30.0% 30.5%
Player Fouled 19.9% 20.3%
Turnover 20.0% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 11.8% 5.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken NIU MARQ
Shot Blocked 5.7% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 29.5%