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Albany at U Mass: Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Nov 7, 2023 7:00 pm - Amherst, MA
Odds: Massachusetts by 10.5, Total Points: 147.5

Matchup Menu: ALBY @ MASS

More Games From Nov 7, 2023

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALBY MASS
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting ALBY MASS
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 60.6 59.5
Field Goal % 42.4% 53.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 38.0 42.3
2 Point Shooting % 48.4% 63.6%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 22.5 17.1
3 Point Shooting % 32.2% 28.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.0 29.2
Free Throw % 73.9% 68.2%
Ball Control ALBY MASS
Rebounds 31.1 39.8
Rebounds - Defensive 19.9 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 13.4
Turnovers 12.9 10.4
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.8
Steals 6.6 7.6
Fouls 18.4 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALBY MASS
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with ALBY MASS
2 Point Attempt 43.4% 47.4%
3 Point Attempt 25.7% 19.2%
Player Fouled 19.8% 24.6%
Turnover 17.3% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 10.1% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALBY MASS
Shot Blocked 6.5% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 29.8% 40.2%