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Santa Clara vs. UCF: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Nov 20, 2022 7:00 pm - Nassau, (Neutral Site)
Odds: Central Florida by 3, Total Points: 137

Matchup Menu: SCU @ UCF

More Games From Nov 20, 2022

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCU UCF
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting SCU UCF
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 53.8 57.5
Field Goal % 41.3% 41.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 32.1 37.4
2 Point Shooting % 46.9% 47.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 21.7 20.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.1% 29.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 26.8
Free Throw % 69.6% 68.6%
Ball Control SCU UCF
Rebounds 38.1 36.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.8 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 11.1
Turnovers 14.1 8.8
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.8
Steals 4.0 8.3
Fouls 17.7 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCU UCF
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with SCU UCF
2 Point Attempt 38.4% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 26.0% 24.1%
Player Fouled 24.2% 24.6%
Turnover 19.6% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 11.6% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken SCU UCF
Shot Blocked 6.8% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 29.2% 28.5%