New York at Phoenix: Box Score Simulation

Friday May 7, 2021 10:00 pm - Phoenix, AZ
Odds: Phoenix by 6.5, Total Points: 217

Matchup Menu: NY @ PHO

More Games From May 7, 2021

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring NY PHO
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting NY PHO
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 91.2 82.9
Field Goal % 44.4% 49.7%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 54.6 50.9
2 Point Shooting % 49.5% 57.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 36.7 32.0
3 Point Shooting % 36.8% 38.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 22.0 22.6
Free Throw % 77.6% 80.9%
Ball Control NY PHO
Rebounds 49.0 47.8
Rebounds - Defensive 32.9 36.8
Rebounds - Offensive 16.1 11.0
Turnovers 10.8 13.3
Blocked Shots 3.9 5.4
Steals 7.5 5.8
Fouls 17.3 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NY PHO
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with NY PHO
2 Point Attempt 46.6% 45.8%
3 Point Attempt 31.3% 28.7%
Player Fouled 16.5% 17.5%
Turnover 10.9% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken NY PHO
Shot Blocked 6.6% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 30.5% 25.0%