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Cotton Bowl Playoff Semifinal: Michigan St vs. Alabama: Point Spread Analysis

Thursday Dec 31, 2015 8:00 pm - Arlington, TX (Neutral Site)
Odds: Alabama by 10, Total Points: 44.5

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Michigan St +10.0 Official TR Pick Michigan St 51% odds to cover
Michigan St +10.0 Decision Tree Michigan St 51% odds to cover
Alabama -10.0 Similar Games Alabama 53% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record MSU adv ALA
Season 5-6-1 9-5-0
vs Conference 3-5-1 7-2-0
Streak L1 L1
Last 5 2-3-0 3-2-0
Last 10 3-6-1 7-3-0
Home 3-4-0 5-2-0
Away 2-2-1 4-3-0

Michigan St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
09/01 Home Central Mich -14.0 W by 24 +10.0
09/09 Home Richmond -29.0 W by 31 +2.0
09/16 Home Washington +15.0 L by 34 -19.0
09/23 Home Maryland +7.0 L by 22 -15.0
09/30 Away Iowa +10.0 L by 10 0.0
10/14 Away Rutgers +4.0 L by 3 +1.0
10/21 Home Michigan +25.5 L by 49 -23.5
10/28 Away Minnesota +6.5 L by 15 -8.5
11/04 Home Nebraska +3.0 W by 3 +6.0
11/11 Away Ohio St +32.0 L by 35 -3.0
11/18 Away Indiana +3.5 W by 3 +6.5
11/24 Home Penn St +22.5 L by 42 -19.5

Alabama Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
09/02 Home Middle Tenn -39.0 W by 49 +10.0
09/09 Home Texas -7.0 L by 10 -17.0
09/16 Away S Florida -34.5 W by 14 -20.5
09/23 Home Mississippi -7.0 W by 14 +7.0
09/30 Away Miss State -16.5 W by 23 +6.5
10/07 Away Texas A&M -2.5 W by 6 +3.5
10/14 Home Arkansas -19.0 W by 3 -16.0
10/21 Home Tennessee -8.5 W by 14 +5.5
11/04 Home LSU -3.0 W by 14 +11.0
11/11 Away Kentucky -10.5 W by 28 +17.5
11/18 Home Chattanooga -44.0 W by 56 +12.0
11/25 Away Auburn -13.5 W by 3 -10.5
12/02 Neutral Georgia +5.5 W by 3 +8.5
01/01 Neutral Michigan +2.0 L by 7 -5.0