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GoDaddy Bowl: Toledo vs. Arkansas St: Over/Under Analysis

Sunday Jan 4, 2015 9:00 pm - Mobile, AL (Neutral Site)
Odds: Toledo by 3.5, Total Points: 69.5

Matchup Menu: TOL @ ARST

More Games From Bowl Week

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 69.5	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go under
Under 69.5	Decision Tree	51% odds to go under
Over 69.5	Similar Games	50% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	TOL	ARST
Season	7-7-0	6-7-0
vs Conference	4-5-0	4-4-0
Streak	Un 3	Un 1
Last 5	2-3-0	2-3-0
Last 10	4-6-0	5-5-0
Home	4-2-0	2-4-0
Away	3-5-0	4-3-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Toledo Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
09/02	Away	Illinois	45.0	28-30	Over	+13.0
09/09	Home	Texas Southern	63.0	71-3	Over	+11.0
09/16	Home	San Jose St	56.5	21-17	Under	-18.5
09/23	Home	W Michigan	51.5	49-31	Over	+28.5
09/30	Home	N Illinois	48.0	35-33	Over	+20.0
10/07	Away	U Mass	55.5	41-24	Over	+9.5
10/14	Away	Ball St	48.5	13-6	Under	-29.5
10/21	Away	Miami (OH)	46.5	21-17	Under	-8.5
10/31	Home	Buffalo	47.0	31-13	Under	-3.0
11/08	Home	E Michigan	45.0	49-23	Over	+27.0
11/14	Away	Bowling Grn	49.5	32-31	Over	+13.5
11/24	Away	Central Mich	54.5	32-17	Under	-5.5
12/02	Neutral	Miami (OH)	43.0	14-23	Under	-6.0
12/30	Neutral	Wyoming	43.5	15-16	Under	-12.5

Arkansas St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
09/02	Away	Oklahoma	57.5	0-73	Over	+15.5
09/09	Home	Memphis	57.5	3-37	Under	-17.5
09/16	Home	Stony Brook	47.0	31-7	Under	-9.0
09/23	Home	S Mississippi	46.5	44-37	Over	+34.5
09/30	Away	U Mass	56.0	52-28	Over	+24.0
10/07	Away	Troy	52.0	3-37	Under	-12.0
10/21	Home	Coastal Car	59.0	17-27	Under	-15.0
10/28	Away	UL Monroe	55.5	34-24	Over	+2.5
11/04	Home	Louisiana	60.0	37-17	Under	-6.0
11/11	Away	S Alabama	55.5	14-21	Under	-20.5
11/18	Home	Texas St	59.5	77-31	Over	+48.5
11/25	Away	Marshall	52.0	21-35	Over	+4.0
12/23	Neutral	N Illinois	53.5	19-21	Under	-13.5