Video: Circa Survivor Week 1 (2023)

Jason from PoolGenius talks about the 2023 Circa Survivor Pro Football Contest, where more than 8,000 entries will compete for a prize pool over $8 million dollars.

In this video, you will see discussion of the following:

• the rules of Circa Survivor
• strategy for the large pool, and how many teams you are likely to need to pick
• projecting Circa Survivor pick popularity, as discussed in this article
• Week 1 predictions for pick rate in the Circa contest
• Thoughts on the picks for Week 1 in Circa Survivor

Here is the table showing the predicted popularity estimates for Week 1, as well as EV and future value.

Here is a table summarizing the future value for all teams in the contest.

Some notes on the Future Value calculations here, as they are different than what is displayed on the site in our normal FV formula.

• They account for the holiday weeks as separate pick weeks
• They allocate future value for each week for all teams projected within a certain win odds threshold of both the current projected top favorite of the week, and the top five highest win odds projections
• “Weeks” is the number of future weeks where that team might be in consideration as a Circa pick, based on our current win odds projections.

We have also written a survivor strategy e-book, which you can download for free here.