Miami at Dallas: Recap

Thursday Mar 7, 2024 7:30 pm - Dallas, TX
Odds: Dallas by 4.5, Total Points: 231

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Dallas MIA 36.5%
DAL 63.5%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
DAL -4.5 MIA 48.7%
DAL 51.3%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 230.0 Over 48.3%
Under 51.7%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off MIA -1.3%
DAL -2.0%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 112.2 112.8 108
DAL 117.0 117.2 114

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA DAL
Points/Game 109.1 116.9
Avg Score Margin +1.0 +2.2
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 12.5 15.7
Pts in Paint/Gm 46.7 46.9
Assists/Game 25.5 25.3
Total Rebounds/Gm 49.4 50.9
Effective FG % 53.6% 56.0%
Off Rebound % 21.5% 22.6%
FTA/FGA 0.251 0.255
Turnover % 11.7% 11.1%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA DAL
Opp Points/Game 108.1 114.6
Opp Effective FG % 54.2% 54.5%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 45.8 50.3
Off Rebounds/Gm 9.2 9.9
Def Rebounds/Gm 32.8 33.0
Blocks/Game 3.3 5.1
Steals/Game 7.4 6.9
Personal Fouls/Gm 17.2 18.4