Projected NCAA Tournament Wins By Conference (not counting play-in games)

Conference Projected Wins
SEC 11.0
Big Ten 11.0
Big 12 9.2
Big East 8.0
Pac-12 6.1
WCC 4.7
ACC 3.7
American 2.9
Mountain West 1.8
Atlantic 10 0.9
MVC 0.6
Conference Projected Wins
Ohio Valley 0.4
CUSA 0.4
MAC 0.3
America East 0.2
MAAC 0.2
Southern 0.2
WAC 0.2
Summit 0.2
Big West 0.1
Atlantic Sun 0.1
Horizon League 0.1
Conference Projected Wins
CAA 0.1
Northeast 0.1
Patriot 0.1
Ivy 0.1
Sun Belt 0.1
Big Sky 0.1
Big South 0.0
SWAC 0.0
MEAC 0.0
Southland 0.0

Southeastern Conference (11.0 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
1 2
Auburn (17-1)
27-4 100% 100% 95% 68% 42% 22% 11% 5%
3 9
LSU (15-3)
25-6 100% 100% 87% 58% 31% 16% 8% 4%
3 10
Kentucky (15-3)
25-7 100% 100% 89% 62% 37% 21% 11% 6%
4 16
Alabama (12-6)
20-11 100% 100% 76% 41% 19% 8% 3% 1%
6 22
Tennessee (12-5)
21-9 100% 99% 72% 38% 18% 8% 4% 2%
10 39
Florida (11-6)
20-11 67% 64% 38% 14% 6% 2% 1% 0%
11 44
Miss State (12-5)
19-12 52% 49% 24% 7% 3% 1% 0% 0%
12 46
Arkansas (13-5)
20-11 49% 48% 27% 10% 4% 1% 0% 0%
Texas A&M (15-3)
20-11 4% 3% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Vanderbilt (10-7)
15-15 3% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Carolina (10-7)
16-15 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
14-17 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Missouri (8-9)
11-20 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Georgia (5-13)
7-24 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Big Ten Conference (11.0 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
2 6
Purdue (15-2)
26-5 100% 100% 94% 71% 46% 27% 15% 8%
3 11
Illinois (13-4)
22-8 100% 100% 87% 58% 32% 17% 9% 4%
4 13
Wisconsin (15-2)
23-7 100% 100% 70% 32% 11% 4% 1% 0%
5 19
Ohio State (12-4)
20-9 100% 99% 69% 33% 13% 5% 2% 1%
5 20
21-10 100% 98% 65% 29% 11% 4% 1% 0%
7 28
Indiana (13-4)
20-10 79% 77% 48% 20% 8% 3% 1% 0%
8 31
Iowa (13-5)
21-10 76% 74% 47% 20% 9% 4% 1% 1%
9 34
Michigan (8-7)
16-14 91% 83% 47% 19% 8% 3% 1% 0%
14-14 43% 34% 13% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0%
Minnesota (10-5)
15-14 26% 19% 6% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Maryland (9-9)
14-17 10% 9% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rutgers (11-6)
16-15 7% 6% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
14-15 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Nebraska (6-13)
8-23 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Big 12 Conference (9.2 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
1 3
Kansas (15-2)
24-6 100% 100% 94% 68% 42% 23% 12% 6%
2 5
Baylor (16-2)
25-6 100% 100% 94% 69% 44% 25% 14% 7%
5 18
Texas Tech (14-4)
22-9 96% 96% 72% 39% 18% 8% 3% 1%
7 27
Texas (13-5)
20-11 80% 78% 52% 24% 11% 5% 2% 1%
8 32
W Virginia (13-4)
19-12 92% 82% 37% 11% 4% 1% 0% 0%
9 36
Oklahoma (12-6)
18-13 79% 73% 39% 14% 5% 2% 1% 0%
10 37
Iowa State (14-4)
20-11 71% 67% 32% 9% 3% 1% 0% 0%
12 47 17-12 49% 42% 17% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0%
Kansas St (10-7)
15-16 12% 10% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
16-14 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Big East Conference (8.0 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
2 7
Villanova (13-5)
24-7 100% 100% 92% 65% 38% 21% 10% 5%
3 12
Xavier (14-3)
24-7 100% 100% 77% 42% 18% 7% 3% 1%
5 17
22-9 97% 97% 73% 39% 18% 8% 3% 1%
6 21
Providence (14-2)
22-9 98% 97% 52% 17% 5% 1% 0% 0%
6 23
Seton Hall (11-5)
20-10 92% 91% 61% 28% 11% 5% 2% 1%
7 25
Marquette (13-6)
19-12 98% 93% 43% 13% 4% 1% 0% 0%
10 40
Creighton (11-5)
19-12 68% 63% 26% 6% 2% 0% 0% 0%
St Johns (10-6)
16-15 3% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
DePaul (10-7)
15-15 3% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Butler (9-8)
13-18 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
9-22 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Pacific-12 Conference (6.1 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
1 4
Arizona (14-1)
28-3 100% 100% 96% 75% 52% 33% 20% 11%
4 14
UCLA (11-2)
23-6 98% 98% 79% 48% 24% 12% 5% 2%
6 24
USC (14-2)
23-7 79% 78% 50% 21% 8% 3% 1% 0%
10 38
Oregon (11-6)
20-11 65% 63% 31% 10% 3% 1% 0% 0%
Stanford (10-5)
16-14 37% 28% 8% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Colorado (12-4)
19-11 6% 6% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wash State (10-7)
18-13 5% 5% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
10-20 3% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Utah (8-10)
13-17 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
13-18 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
12-17 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Oregon St (3-13)
8-23 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

West Coast Conference (4.7 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
1 1
Gonzaga (14-2)
26-3 100% 100% 98% 83% 64% 46% 32% 21%
8 29
BYU (15-4)
24-7 81% 79% 41% 13% 4% 1% 0% 0%
11 43
St Marys (13-4)
22-9 59% 53% 25% 8% 3% 1% 0% 0%
22-8 42% 39% 19% 6% 2% 1% 0% 0%
19-12 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
13-15 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
San Diego (10-7)
14-15 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Portland (10-8)
14-16 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Pacific (5-11)
8-22 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Pepperdine (6-13)
8-23 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Atlantic Coast Conference (3.7 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
4 15
Duke (14-3)
25-6 98% 98% 80% 49% 25% 12% 6% 3%
9 33
N Carolina (12-5)
21-10 82% 78% 41% 14% 5% 2% 1% 0%
9 35
Florida St (11-5)
20-10 68% 66% 32% 10% 3% 1% 0% 0%
Miami (FL) (14-4)
20-11 42% 38% 14% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0%
VA Tech (10-7)
20-11 32% 32% 18% 7% 3% 1% 0% 0%
Louisville (11-7)
16-15 22% 19% 7% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0%
22-9 18% 17% 8% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0%
Notre Dame (11-6)
19-12 11% 10% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Virginia (11-7)
17-13 10% 9% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Syracuse (9-9)
16-16 6% 5% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Clemson (10-8)
17-14 3% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
NC State (9-10)
14-17 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
GA Tech (7-10)
13-19 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
11-19 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Pittsburgh (7-11)
10-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

American Athletic Conference (2.9 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
2 8
Houston (16-2)
26-4 100% 100% 91% 64% 37% 20% 10% 5%
Memphis (9-7)
17-11 55% 54% 30% 10% 4% 1% 0% 0%
21-9 13% 13% 6% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Central FL (11-5)
18-10 7% 6% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cincinnati (13-5)
20-10 6% 6% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
16-14 4% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Temple (10-6)
16-15 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Tulsa (6-9)
12-17 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Tulane (7-8)
11-16 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Carolina (11-6)
15-15 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Florida (6-11)
10-20 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Mountain West Conference (1.8 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
7 26 21-8 85% 82% 42% 14% 4% 1% 0% 0%
8 30
22-6 65% 65% 34% 11% 3% 1% 0% 0%
11 41
22-9 59% 57% 26% 7% 2% 1% 0% 0%
Wyoming (14-2)
24-7 38% 37% 16% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0%
Utah State (10-8)
18-13 18% 16% 6% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Fresno St (13-4)
21-10 12% 11% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
UNLV (10-7)
17-14 8% 8% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Nevada (8-7)
14-15 4% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
New Mexico (7-11)
11-20 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Air Force (8-7)
11-18 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
9-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Atlantic 10 Conference (0.9 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
11 45
Davidson (15-2)
24-6 49% 49% 22% 6% 2% 0% 0% 0%
VCU (10-6)
18-11 43% 35% 12% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0%
20-9 41% 38% 15% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0%
21-10 23% 22% 8% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0%
Dayton (12-6)
21-10 21% 20% 7% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Richmond (11-7)
19-12 11% 10% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
20-10 11% 10% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Geo Mason (7-7)
16-15 3% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
U Mass (7-9)
13-17 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
12-17 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Duquesne (6-9)
11-19 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Fordham (9-7)
14-16 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
La Salle (6-9)
10-19 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Geo Wshgtn (5-11)
9-22 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Missouri Valley Conference (0.6 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
11 42
Loyola-Chi (14-2)
24-5 56% 56% 30% 10% 4% 1% 0% 0%
21-10 20% 18% 5% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Iowa (9-8)
15-13 10% 10% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Drake (13-6)
20-11 9% 9% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bradley (9-10)
15-15 4% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Illinois (10-8)
17-14 3% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
14-16 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Valparaiso (9-10)
13-17 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
14-17 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Evansville (4-12)
7-23 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Ohio Valley Conference (0.4 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
12 50
Murray St (15-2)
27-3 54% 49% 17% 6% 2% 0% 0% 0%
Belmont (14-4)
25-6 40% 37% 11% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0%
21-10 5% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
TN Tech (4-12)
12-19 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
14-17 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
TN State (7-10)
12-18 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
10-18 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
TN Martin (6-11)
11-20 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
11-20 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Illinois (2-14)
5-26 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Conference USA (0.4 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
12 49
UAB (15-4)
25-6 45% 43% 18% 6% 2% 1% 0% 0%
20-8 19% 17% 5% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
LA Tech (15-3)
23-7 16% 14% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Kentucky (10-7)
19-12 9% 9% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
17-14 2% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
18-13 2% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
14-17 2% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rice (10-6)
18-12 2% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
16-14 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Charlotte (9-6)
16-14 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Marshall (7-10)
13-18 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
17-15 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
10-22 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
TX-San Ant (7-11)
10-22 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Mid-American Conference (0.3 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
13 54
Toledo (14-4)
24-7 33% 30% 8% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Ohio (14-2)
26-5 28% 25% 6% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Buffalo (9-6)
21-10 18% 17% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Akron (10-5)
21-10 7% 7% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
16-14 5% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
17-14 5% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
17-14 4% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Ball State (7-10)
14-17 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
11-20 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
9-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
5-26 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Michigan (4-13)
7-24 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

America East Conference (0.2 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
13 51
Vermont (12-4)
24-6 78% 77% 17% 6% 1% 0% 0% 0%
15-13 6% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
19-12 6% 6% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
17-13 3% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Albany (7-10)
14-17 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Hartford (3-10)
11-19 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
13-16 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
11-16 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
NJIT (8-8)
13-16 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Maine (3-12)
6-23 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference (0.2 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
12 48
Iona (15-3)
26-5 49% 46% 14% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0%
Monmouth (10-6)
21-10 23% 21% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Marist (8-8)
16-13 7% 7% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
St Peters (6-6)
14-14 6% 6% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Niagara (8-8)
15-14 6% 6% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Fairfield (8-9)
16-15 5% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Quinnipiac (10-6)
15-13 2% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Manhattan (9-5)
15-14 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Siena (6-6)
12-16 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Canisius (5-12)
10-21 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rider (5-11)
9-22 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Southern Conference (0.2 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
13 52
24-7 35% 32% 9% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Furman (13-7)
21-10 28% 26% 5% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wofford (12-7)
19-11 19% 18% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Tenn St (12-8)
18-13 5% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
17-13 5% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
16-14 4% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Mercer (11-8)
16-15 3% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Samford (11-6)
15-15 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Citadel (7-10)
11-18 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Carolina (8-11)
11-20 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Western Athletic Conference (0.2 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

These games count in the WAC standings, but are not recognized by the NCAA, so are not included in overall team records and will not be considered for bracketology purposes:
  • January 6th: Lamar forfeit loss to New Mexico State
  • January 8th: Lamar forfeit loss to Grand Canyon
Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
15 60
Grd Canyon (14-2)
24-6 34% 32% 6% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0%
24-6 28% 26% 5% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
20-10 12% 11% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
20-9 10% 10% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Seattle (13-4)
21-10 9% 9% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
18-12 4% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
16-15 3% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
TX-Pan Am (6-11)
10-20 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lamar (2-15)
4-26 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Chicago St (6-13)
7-24 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
17-14 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
12-19 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
15-16 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Summit Conference (0.2 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
14 55
25-6 52% 52% 10% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0%
21-8 31% 31% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
18-12 6% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Illinois (12-6)
19-11 5% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
16-13 3% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
UMKC (8-8)
15-14 3% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Denver (7-14)
10-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Neb Omaha (3-16)
5-24 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
6-25 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
14-16 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Big West Conference (0.1 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
13 53
UC Irvine (6-5)
17-9 41% 39% 7% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0%
18-9 16% 16% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Hawaii (7-5)
15-11 13% 13% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
UCSB (7-7)
15-11 12% 11% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
16-12 8% 8% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
UC Davis (7-5)
14-11 5% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
11-14 3% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
11-18 2% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cal Poly (4-11)
8-20 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
9-20 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
14-16 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Atlantic Sun Conference (0.1 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
14 58
Liberty (13-6)
22-9 48% 48% 6% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
20-9 33% 33% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
15-14 7% 6% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
18-12 4% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Kentucky (9-10)
16-14 4% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
17-11 3% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lipscomb (8-12)
12-19 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Stetson (7-11)
11-18 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Florida (4-14)
8-22 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
9-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bellarmine (10-8)
16-14 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Alabama (8-10)
13-16 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Horizon (0.1 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
14 56
Oakland (13-4)
24-6 50% 49% 7% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0%
20-8 20% 18% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
17-14 10% 8% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Detroit (5-9)
13-14 8% 6% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
14-14 4% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Youngs St (10-8)
17-14 3% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
IPFW (9-8)
16-14 3% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
12-17 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
WI-Milwkee (6-12)
12-19 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rob Morris (3-14)
8-22 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
WI-Grn Bay (3-13)
7-22 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
IUPUI (1-15)
2-27 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Colonial Athletic Association (0.1 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
15 61
Towson (13-5)
22-9 35% 35% 5% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Hofstra (11-7)
20-11 23% 23% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Delaware (12-6)
20-11 13% 12% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Drexel (7-7)
16-14 12% 12% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
16-14 6% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
12-17 6% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Elon (5-13)
10-21 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
14-15 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wm & Mary (3-14)
5-26 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
James Mad (11-4)
20-10 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Northeast Conference (0.1 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

These games count in the Northeast Conference standings, but are not recognized by the NCAA, so are not included in overall team records and will not be considered for bracketology purposes:
  • December 28th: Mount St. Mary's forfeit loss to Fairleigh Dickinson
  • December 31st: Mount St. Mary's forfeit loss to Wagner
  • January 6th: Fairleigh Dickinson forfeit loss to Merrimack
  • January 6th: Sacred Heart forfeit loss to Central Connecticut State
  • January 8th: Fairleigh Dickinson forfeit loss to Bryant
  • January 8th: Sacred Heart forfeit loss to Wagner
Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
14 57
Wagner (10-2)
23-5 68% 68% 8% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bryant (8-8)
17-12 15% 12% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
LIU (7-9)
14-14 8% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
14-16 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Sacred Hrt (7-10)
14-17 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Merrimack (8-10)
14-17 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
11-18 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
9-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
6-22 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
8-23 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Patriot League (0.1 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
15 59
Colgate (7-10)
19-12 58% 57% 5% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Navy (12-6)
20-9 28% 28% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Boston U (12-8)
20-11 8% 7% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Loyola-MD (11-7)
16-13 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Army (11-8)
16-14 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lehigh (7-12)
12-19 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lafayette (4-11)
9-20 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bucknell (3-16)
7-24 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
American (5-11)
9-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Holy Cross (3-13)
7-23 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Ivy League (0.1 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
15 62
Yale (8-8)
16-12 29% 29% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Princeton (14-3)
20-7 29% 29% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Harvard (10-5)
16-10 19% 19% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Brown (9-11)
15-14 8% 8% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%