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Detroit at WI-Grn Bay: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Jan 20, 2022 8:00 pm - Green Bay, WI
Odds: Detroit Mercy by 5, Total Points: 136.5

Matchup Menu: DETU @ WIGB

More Games From Jan 20, 2022

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring DETU WIGB
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting DETU WIGB
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 54.2 54.8
Field Goal % 45.0% 49.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 35.0 28.5
2 Point Shooting % 55.3% 62.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 19.2 26.4
3 Point Shooting % 26.3% 36.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 17.2
Free Throw % 74.1% 71.5%
Ball Control DETU WIGB
Rebounds 29.0 33.9
Rebounds - Defensive 21.4 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 8.8
Turnovers 9.5 11.1
Blocked Shots 3.0 1.8
Steals 6.3 3.7
Fouls 15.2 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DETU WIGB
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with DETU WIGB
2 Point Attempt 45.9% 36.6%
3 Point Attempt 25.2% 33.8%
Player Fouled 23.5% 22.4%
Turnover 13.9% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken DETU WIGB
Shot Blocked 3.3% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 29.1%