Utah at Portland: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Jan 25, 2023 10:00 pm - Portland, OR
Odds: Portland by 4, Total Points: 238.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTA POR
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting UTA POR
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 88.4 88.2
Field Goal % 48.3% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 52.3 51.8
2 Point Shooting % 56.2% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 36.1 36.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 36.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 26.2 26.1
Free Throw % 78.1% 81.0%
Ball Control UTA POR
Rebounds 51.9 46.0
Rebounds - Defensive 37.9 34.6
Rebounds - Offensive 14.0 11.4
Turnovers 13.1 11.4
Blocked Shots 5.0 4.9
Steals 5.8 6.4
Fouls 19.2 18.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTA POR
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with UTA POR
2 Point Attempt 43.9% 44.4%
3 Point Attempt 30.3% 31.2%
Player Fouled 18.0% 18.6%
Turnover 12.7% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTA POR
Shot Blocked 5.6% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 28.9% 23.2%